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U.S. Election Guide to Markets: What to Watch Once It’s All Over

Investors suddenly became much more confident that Hillary Clinton will prevail over Donald Trump for a status quo outcome in the U.S. presidential campaign -- a Democrat in the White House reined in by Republicans in Congress. Option bets on where the S&P 500 Index will be on the day after Tuesday’s vote suggest Hillary Clinton has 71 percent chance of winning, up from 63 percent last week, Janus Capital Group Inc. said in an e-mail. That leaves investors more aligned with prediction-market gamblers and polling-aggregator forecasts, which mostly give her better odds. The Janus analysis was consistent with market moves after the Federal Bureau of Investigation reaffirmed...

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